More than 60% of US adults report using generative-AI tools at least weekly in a major national survey.
CAL-03 — sealed at 62% on 2026-07-03. Status: PENDING. Resolves 2029-06-30.
What decides it
CORRECT if Pew Research or an equivalent probability-sampled national survey (Gallup, AP-NORC, Reuters Institute) published by 2029-06-30 finds >60% of US adults using generative-AI tools weekly or more often. Baseline at sealing: Pew (June 2025) found 34% of US adults had ever used ChatGPT.
The sealed probability is never revised. It is graded in public on its resolution date, whichever way it falls.
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